Plan México turns 1: What Sheinbaum’s economic package has delivered so far

A twelvemonth agone today, President Claudia Sheinbaum presented Plan México, an ambitious economical inaugural with 13 goals.

Twelve months connected from that presentation, what advancement has been made toward achieving the goals by 2030, the last twelvemonth of Sheinbaum’s six-year presidency?

In presenting Plan México, Sheinbaum described the program arsenic promoting economical maturation successful Mexico portion prioritizing “wellbeing for our people.” (Presidencia)

The Mexico City-based deliberation vessel México ¿cómo vamos? (MCV) considered that question successful a study published past Thursday. This nonfiction is informed by the report, titled “A un año del Plan México, ¿cómo vamos?” (One twelvemonth into Plan México, however are we doing?)

MCV looks astatine six of the 13 Plan México goals, delivering a study paper that is acold from flattering

A aboriginal Mexico News Daily nonfiction volition measure the advancement that has been made toward the attainment of the different 7 goals.

While the national authorities has acceptable 13 Plan México goals, it is important to enactment that the program itself is not acceptable successful stone. Instead, it volition beryllium modified to accommodate to the prevailing economical and geopolitical conditions, and the authorities volition besides question to heighten it with complementary initiatives.

Indeed, the program was strengthened past April with the announcement of 18 related “programs and actions,” including commitments to accelerate the operation of nationalist infrastructure projects and homes, and to summation home accumulation of a scope of goods, including vehicles, pharmaceuticals, aesculapian devices and petrochemicals.

Goal 1: To marque Mexico the world’s 10th-largest system by 2030

According to information from the World Bank, Mexico is the world’s 13th-largest economy.

Its extremity of becoming the 10th-largest system didn’t get disconnected to a large commencement successful 2025 arsenic economical maturation importantly slowed.

Final information for 2025 has not yet been released, but the International Monetary Fund forecast past October that Mexico would grounds a GDP maturation complaint of conscionable 1%.

“Due to the [0.2%] contraction recorded successful the 3rd quarter, adjacent 1% appears optimistic,” MCV wrote.

Annual economical maturation successful the archetypal 9 months of 2025 was conscionable 0.4%, according to the nationalist statistic bureau INEGI.

MCV highlighted that the system of Brazil — presently the world’s 10th largest system — was projected to turn astatine 2.4% successful 2025, easy outpacing the complaint of maturation successful Mexico.

According to MCV’s postulation airy strategy — based connected the astir caller authoritative information — the “economic maturation light” is presently red, the worst of 3 imaginable ratings.

Goal 2: To support concern levels supra 25% of GDP from 2026

Given that 2026 conscionable started, the attainment (or otherwise) of this extremity cannot yet beryllium measured.

To execute the extremity this year, the level of concern arsenic a percent of GDP — including nationalist investment, home backstage concern and overseas nonstop concern — volition person to summation from the percent recorded successful precocious 2025.

Capital formation from Mexico, a occupation since April, slowed astatine the extremity of 2025

MCV wrote that concern levels declined from 24.8% of GDP successful the 3rd 4th of 2024 to 22% of GDP successful the 3rd 4th of past year.

The deliberation vessel added that its “investment postulation light” changed from greenish to yellowish successful the period.

MCV besides wrote that the fulfillment of Goal 2 is “fundamental to presumption Mexico among the world’s 10 largest economies (Goal 1), make 1.5 cardinal further jobs successful precocious manufacturing and strategical sectors (Goal 3) and summation by 15% the nationalist [Mexican] added worth successful planetary worth chains [used by manufacturers successful Mexico] (Goal 5).”

Goal 3: To make 1.5 cardinal further jobs successful manufacturing and different strategical sectors 

Citing “transformation industry” information from the Mexican Social Security Institute (IMSS), MCV noted that 127,200 jobs successful that assemblage (which includes manufacturing) were mislaid successful 2025, the worst effect since 2008 amid the planetary fiscal crisis.

Based connected that data, the extremity of adding 1.5 cardinal further jobs successful manufacturing and different strategical sectors appears adjacent much distant present than it did a twelvemonth ago.

The nonaccomplishment of jobs occurred adjacent arsenic the worth of Mexico’s exports — which is chiefly derived from the shipment overseas of manufactured goods — continued to grow.

MCV besides noted that 278,697 IMSS-affiliated ceremonial jobs were created successful 2025.

The figure, the deliberation vessel highlighted, is “far from the nationalist extremity of creating 1.2 cardinal jobs per year.”

Consequently, MCV’s “job instauration postulation light” is presently red.

Goal 5: To summation by 15% the usage of nationalist contented successful products made successful assorted sectors

In January 2025, Sheinbaum said that the extremity was to summation by 15% the usage of domestically made contented successful products made by the pursuing sectors: automotive, aerospace, electronics, semiconductors, pharmaceuticals and chemicals.

According to information from INEGI, the percent of home contented successful products made successful Mexico by export-oriented companies accrued to 44.2% successful 2024 from 42.6% successful 2023.

Data for 2025 has not yet been released, and therefore, advancement connected this extremity wrong the discourse of Plan México tin not yet beryllium assessed.

To execute a 15-point summation successful nationalist contented successful manufactured goods successful the six years from 2025 to 2030, an mean yearly summation of 2.5 percent points is required, importantly higher than the 1.6-point summation recorded successful 2024.

MCV wrote that “achieving Goal 5 requires accelerating investment, ensuring
sufficient vigor astatine competitory prices, integrating tiny and medium-sized companies [into the accumulation chain] and consolidating an concern argumentation that transforms Mexican companies into cardinal players successful the North American co-production model.”

The deliberation vessel said that its “export worth added postulation light” remains astatine yellow, arsenic its presumption is that “at slightest 50%” of contented successful products made successful Mexico should beryllium sourced wrong the country.

Goal 8: To trim the mean clip betwixt an concern announcement and the execution of a task from 2.6 years to 1 year 

According to the national government, the accomplishment of this extremity volition beryllium supported by a 50% simplification successful the bureaucratic procedures investors person to implicit successful bid to commence a project.

MCV wrote that achieving the extremity remains a “challenge” successful Mexico, but did not accidental whether immoderate advancement had been made successful 2025.

On a affirmative note, the Sheinbaum medication has acceptable up a “National Digital Window for Investments” (Ventanilla Digital Nacional de Inversiones), a website touted arsenic a “one-stop shop” for investing successful Mexico. Its purpose is to simplify the bureaucratic procedures investors person to implicit and consequently trim the clip betwixt the lodging of an exertion for the support of a task and the granting of the applicable permits.

In its report, MCV wrote that the competitiveness of Mexico depends connected a assortment of different factors beyond expediting the support of concern projects.

“To beryllium among the astir competitory countries successful the world, a coagulated regularisation of law, ineligible certainty, respect for quality rights, quality capital, and preservation of earthy resources, among different things, are required,” the deliberation vessel said.

In 2025, MCV added, Mexico ranked 55th retired of 69 countries successful IMD Business School’s 2025 World Competitiveness Rankings. Mexico fared peculiarly poorly successful the “government efficiency” category, ranking 62nd retired of the 69 countries.

Due to Mexico’s presumption connected the rankings, MCV’s “competitiveness postulation light” is presently red.

Goal 13: To trim poorness and inequality  

When she presented Plan México a twelvemonth ago, Sheinbaum said that this extremity was a “substantive,” oregon overarching, one.

Data published by INEGI past twelvemonth showed that much than 13 cardinal radical were lifted retired of poorness successful Mexico betwixt 2018 and 2024, a play that evidently precedes the announcement of Plan México.

In its report, MCV noted that the percent of the Mexican colonisation successful a concern of pobreza laboral — i.e., they person jobs but inactive unrecorded successful poorness — declined to 34.3% successful the 3rd 4th of 2025 from 35.1% a twelvemonth earlier.

However, “an estimated 44.9 cardinal Mexicans [still] unrecorded successful a concern wherever their household income is insufficient to acquisition the basal nutrient handbasket for each … [household] members,” the deliberation vessel wrote.

Cost of Mexico’s ‘basic nutrient basket’ is up 4.4% successful municipality areas

While humble advancement was made successful reducing pobreza laboral successful the 12 months to the extremity of September 2025, the authorities — a self-styled champion of Mexico’s mediocre — inactive has a batch of enactment to do.

MCV noted that its “pobreza laboral postulation light” is yellow, adding that the extremity is for “less than 20.5% of the population” to beryllium successful a concern successful which their income is “insufficient to acquisition the basal nutrient handbasket for each members of the home.”

Of course, having nary 1 surviving successful a concern of pobreza laboral would beryllium a much desirable situation.

Among the ways successful which the national authorities is aiming to trim poorness successful Mexico is by importantly expanding the minimum wage connected an yearly ground (13% successful 2026) and providing an array of societal and payment programs to citizens.

Last August, Sheinbaum said that the simplification successful poorness betwixt 2018 and 2024 was the effect of the summation successful the minimum wage successful caller years — it astir tripled during erstwhile president Andrés Manuel López Obrador’s word — authorities payment programs and “access to rights” for citizens.

She volition beryllium hoping that her authorities — done Plan México and different initiatives — tin execute akin success.

MCV’s look for Plan México success 

MCV’s appraisal of the advancement toward the attainment of the six above-mentioned goals underscores the ambitiousness of Plan México. Indeed, achieving immoderate of the goals appears much hard present than it did erstwhile Sheinbaum announced the program connected Jan. 13, 2025.

At the precise extremity of its 14-page report, MCV wrote that it has established a “clear diagnosis” of the concern successful Mexico a twelvemonth aft the announcement of Plan México, and acceptable retired a people of enactment to amended it.

“Mexico needs much concern to turn [economically] and to make prime jobs that volition alteration america to beryllium much competitory successful precocious value-added industries and to connection higher wages successful bid to trim poorness and inequality,” the deliberation vessel said.

“Mexico tin beforehand … [toward the accomplishment of] these goals if we supply greater ineligible certainty, openness to concern successful the vigor sector, and a much robust regularisation of law,” MCV wrote.

Achieving those goals volition make the “essential conditions to trigger a virtuous ellipse of investment, economical growth, prime employment and societal progress,” the deliberation vessel said.

By Mexico News Daily main unit writer Peter Davies ([email protected])